Congratulations! I had a terrible Istanbul plus I don't take the full stormsway off of Africa so that left the door open for a new WR.

Just to go into the math of this run, I find Jose to be available in Lisbon about 1/3 of the time. I find Istanbul closed about 1/2 of the time. The 5 screens of stormsway, taking it full on without a figurehead, is around 36% chance of not getting a storm. When you put all probabilities together it's about a 1/20 to complete a run like this. So congratulations on "Critting" the run!

Your approach to food and water is also interesting. I will look into my need to restock at Istanbul.

When I am done with the Dragon Warrior 3 project I will take a stream or two to get back to this. There are open questions, particularly at the start when you can sell your weapons for extra gold. Also, you can double your suvivability in the stormsway by getting a Swan figurehead for the galleon for 1000 gold. I think sub 18 is quite possible here.

Again, well done.

Thanks for the comment! My first attempts at this were trying the London-Antwerp trade route but I couldn't break 20m30s and Jose had to be in the right spot or the run was over. Upon seeing your direct to Pisa route I tried a bunch of optimizations (the big one is getting a new galleon saving 5000g). I also talked about possible variations during the run (taking 4 food+water to Bordeaux allows you to skip the 2nd trip between Pisa and Naples, and you could also try to go to Marsielle for your final art sale before Istanbul to get Roberto, saving a port stop).

Regarding your question about the storms, each screen has an "event" that has a 15/600 chance (or 1/40) of triggering that is rolled 4 to 5 times a day. Your average figurehead (rounded down) subtracts from that 15 (basically it's really expensive to improve your odds). The first 5 screens beyond the coast of Africa have the storm event (and every screen downward -it's a huge square of screens, so it's best to just skim the top). Screens go by faster but you are incurring risk; you could probably get away with the last 2 or so screens but 3 or more and you really risk just ending the run.

Anyway, good luck on the WR attempts. I think this is the optimal route, but this run could have been executed much more cleanly.