Casino Optimization
5 years ago
United States

Hi, I did some math to figure out the optimal strategies in the casino. I posted this in Johncarls' discord, but I figured I'd throw it here as well in case anyone else is interested

Strategies: Red Dog 500 - Bet 500 in Red Dog, mash the draw/deal button (never raise) and hope to win net 3 times Blackjack 500 - Bet 500 in Blackjack, hope to either win 3 times or get a good opportunity to double down and win 2 times Blackjack 750 - Bet 750 in Blackjack, win 2 times. If you lose the first hand, bust intentionally to start over Blackjack 250/500/1250 - Try to hit 1250 in Blackjack then double from there. You get 2 shots at it, betting 250 and then 500 (if you lose the 250). If you lose twice in a row, bust intentionally to zero out and start over

With perfect luck: Red Dog 500 (RD500) is optimal. It's closer to the cash window and each hand can be played much faster (although this game has more draws, with perfect or near-perfect luck that's not a big deal) Blackjack 500 (BJ500) is +10s compared to RD500. Each hand takes a little longer to play, but the main issue is there are more screen transitions to get to and from the table BJ750 is +3s compared to BJ500. Not being able to save time by doubling requires playing an extra hand at a cost of 2.5-3 seconds. BJ1250 is +7s compared to BJ750. While losing hands are faster, actually winning out takes much longer due to having to scroll the bet up to 1250

With average luck: BJ1250 takes 140 seconds and has a 31% chance of success per cash refill. BJ750 takes 190 seconds and has a 21% chance of success per refill BJ500 takes 240 seconds and has a 15% chance of success per refill (probably a little better than this due to opportunities to double down, which are not fully taken into account here) RD500 takes 300 seconds and has a 7% chance of success per refill

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Posted 5 years ago
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